Monday, January 02, 2006

Post Hoc, Ergo Propter Hoc

The Ohio State Buckeyes pasted Notre Dame.

Notre Dame should have beat USC.

Texas beat Ohio State.

Therefore, Texas will beat USC.

Like most "Post Hoc, Ergo Propter Hoc" arguments this progression doesn't really hold water and I would still look for USC to win tomorrow. However, I really wouldn't be surprised if the line came down from the curent USC -7.5 because of bettors using the above logic in putting money on Texas.

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