Monday, January 29, 2007

Todd Helton to the Red Sox?

There has been some recent speculation about Todd Helton possibly being traded to the Red Sox. I'm a Helton fan but I doubt the discussions here ever got serious (in fact I wonder if Colorado is just leaking the information to try and gauge interest in Helton from the rest of MLB).

The reason I doubt these talks are serious are twofold:

First - Bill James is still a consultant to the Red Sox and James' favorite stat is Win Shares. Todd Helton only had one more (23) than Kevin Youkilis (22). Why would the Red Sox take on Helton's huge contract for just a single Win Share upgrade at first base?

Secondly - if the Red Sox did want an over 30-year old first baseman who hits 20 HR an has a .900+ OPS then they could have tried to sign Nomar Garciaparra for much less money (if Nomar would ever deal with Larry Lucchino and the Red Sox is another story - but the point is there are other options out there other than taking on a huge contract).

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