Ronald Reagan vs. Ted Baxter

Time for another installment of the Ronald Reagan vs. Ted Baxter betting NFL football contest.

The conservative theory of NFL betting is to take a home team getting 3 or fewer points. Who is more conservative than Ronald Reagan? Note - this theory does not include games which are a "pick". The Ted Baxter theory of football betting says to take the NFL teams getting 10 or more points under the idea that both teams are professionals and how much difference could there be between two groups of professionals? Ted Baxter used this method to soundly whip Lou Grant betting football games.

Week 4 NFL Picks

Ronald Reagan - so far the Ronald Reagan theory has been 3-0 for the season. There were no games that fit the theory last week but this week there are a bunch. The Falcons are getting 2.5 against the visiting Texans. The Lions are getting 3 against the visiting Bears and their new QB Brian Griese. The Vikings are getting 1.5 against Brett Farve and the Packers. The 49ers are getting 2 against the Seahawks. Finally tonight the home Giants will be getting 3 against the visiting Eagles. Honestly none of the home teams appeal to me personally but these 5 games should be a good test for the Ronald Reagan theory.


Ted Baxter - last week the Ted Baxter theory went 0-2 as both the Patriots and Steelers easily covered (although a friend of mine says the Steelers game shouldn't count because he had 9 points as the spread at game-time). Going with the 0-2 mark for last week - that puts the Ted Baxter theory at .500 for the season (3-3). I would like to point out that the three losses were due to either the Patriots or Steelers (maybe they should be the exceptions to the betting rule). This week there are three games that fit the theory. The home Cowboys are giving 13 to the surprisingly inept Rams. The home Chargers are giving 11.5 to the inept and badly coached Chiefs. Finally the line on the Indy / Denver game has crept up to 10 points at the time of writing from the 9 points its been at most of the week. I am going to include the Indy game as an official pick for Ted Baxter.