Have a new miscellaneous thoughts and observations post up on Substack.
Don't be surprised if VP JD Vance takes a hard line with the Iranians in the peace negotiations in Pakistan. Politically allowing Vance to appear serious is wise politically and the mullahs real don't have any cards to play. In reality they're fighting for either minor concessions or death from above. Don't be surprised if another venue is chosen either - so the Pakistanis know they need to make this time work as well. That subtly puts them on our side.
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