AL East - A Three Team Race

Neate Sager adds the Blue Jays into the comparison mix. I think this season may come down to a two team race in the AL East with neither of those teams being the Yankees.

My only real point of contention with Neate would be at first base. I think the Jays and Sox are equally matched and that the Yankees are a distant third despite Giambi's HR totals. I think Overbay will hit about .275 with around 15 HR and a bulked up Shea Hillenbrand will add to the first base total. The Red Sox will get fewer HR from their combo of Kevin Youkilis and JT Snow but not by much but of the three first base combos - the Red Sox are by far the best defensively. Giambi would have to hit over 40 HR just to overcome his defensive liabilities.