Wednesday, October 26, 2005

Just Sayin'

VORP (value over replacement player) is a good judge of a player's worth (at least I think so). Let's take a look at the VORP for a few pitchers:

AJ Burnett 33.2
Kevin Millwood 52.3
David Wells 24.1
Matt Clement 21.6
Tom Glavine 43.6

Burnett is the top free agent starter on the market but according to VORP Millwood is the better value. Everyone says that Burnett has great "stuff" but that is the same thing they said about Matt Clement.

In terms of the Red Sox - I think they would be better off going after Millwood because he'd be cheaper and he's already made the American League adjustment. Millwood could be slotted as a number 3 so he wouldn't have too much pressure. Burnett definitely gives off "buyer beware" vibes. The Sox would be better looking for a value like another David Wells or maybe trading for a Tom Glavine.

Just sayin'.

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